San Diego State
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 79.6047Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H California ACC ( 6-11, 82.8) 12-13 212 H Fairleigh Dickinson Northeast (10- 8, 72.4) 15- 5 216 H Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 10-12 228 A East Carolina AAC ( 8- 9, 83.5) 7-15 304 A Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 3-13 308 H Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 6-18 315 H Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 15-17 320 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 10-11 322 A Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 14-13 328 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 5-16 330 H Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 8-14 404 A UC Davis Big 12 ( 7- 9, 84.5) 8-18 411 H Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 6-18 418 H Arizona State Big 12 ( 8-10, 86.9) 8-15 424 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 8-18 426 A Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 10- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H California 12-13 -1 -2 0.84
212 H Fairleigh Dickinson 15- 5 10 9 1.43
216 H Oregon 10-12 -2 -1 -1.19
228 A East Carolina 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.70
304 A Southern California 3-13 -10 -8 -1.71
308 H Penn State 6-18 -12 -12 0.37
315 H Columbia 15-17 -2 -2 0.42
320 A Kent State 10-11 -1 2 - -3.38
322 A Akron 14-13 1 -2 + 3.15
328 A Colorado 5-16 -11 -16 + 3.00
330 H Rutgers 8-14 -6 -10 + 3.91
404 A UC Davis 8-18 -10 -6 - -3.72
411 H Florida 6-18 -12 -12 0.45
418 H Arizona State 8-15 -7 -6 -1.02
424 A Cincinnati 8-18 -10 -5 -- -5.27
426 A Xavier 10- 5 5 1 + 3.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Cincinnati 8-18 -10 -5 -- -5.27 228 A East Carolina 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.70 320 A Kent State 10-11 -1 2 - -3.38 404 A UC Davis 8-18 -10 -6 - -3.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Akron 14-13 1 -2 + 3.15 328 A Colorado 5-16 -11 -16 + 3.00 330 H Rutgers 8-14 -6 -10 + 3.91 426 A Xavier 10- 5 5 1 + 3.74 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H California ( 6-11, 82.8) 12-13 -17.08 23.08 -1.37 1.08 -9.99
3 H Fairleigh Dick (10- 8, 72.4) 15- 5 -27.50 12.67 -1.37 1.08 24.47
3 H Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 10-12 -18.12 22.05 -1.37 1.08 -10.55
3 A East Carolina ( 8- 9, 83.5) 7-15 -16.36 23.80 1.37 1.08 -8.12
3 A Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 3-13 -13.37 26.80 1.37 1.08 -6.50
3 H Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 6-18 -6.55 33.61 -1.37 1.08 -4.29
3 H Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 15-17 -16.51 23.66 -1.37 1.08 -9.68
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 10-11 -24.04 16.12 1.37 1.08 -12.28
3 A Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 14-13 -19.51 20.66 1.37 1.08 47.70
3 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 5-16 -5.99 34.18 1.37 1.08 -2.50
3 H Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 8-14 -9.02 31.15 -1.37 1.08 -5.62
3 A UC Davis ( 7- 9, 84.5) 8-18 -15.38 24.79 1.37 1.08 -7.59
3 H Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 6-18 -6.48 33.69 -1.37 1.08 -4.25
3 H Arizona State ( 8-10, 86.9) 8-15 -12.95 27.22 -1.37 1.08 -7.75
3 A Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 8-18 -16.93 23.23 1.37 1.08 -8.43
3 A Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 10- 5 -22.92 17.25 1.37 1.08 40.31
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14.94
|
winning pts = 112.4754 losing points = -97.5322
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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